Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Reuters reports: Companies reap the swine flu windfall

If you think there’s no profit in swine flu or other vaccines, I’ve got news from you just in from Reuters:

Companies reap the swine flu windfall

Some excerpts:

“Pretty much everyone who does something in influenza in has gained from it,” said Hedwig Kresse, an infectious diseases analyst at Datamonitor in London.

“From a sales perspective, the big players certainly will see a very significant windfall of this pandemic this year,” Kresse said in a telephone interview.”

“Swiss drugmaker Novartis AG said this week it expects the H1N1 flu vaccine to contribute about $400 million to $700 million of sales in the fourth quarter.”

“David Kagi, a healthcare analyst at Swiss-based Bank Sarasin & Co estimates pandemic vaccine sales will be worth a total of $7.6 billion, even with a mild pandemic. A severe pandemic would result in total vaccine sales of $18 billion.”

If the spread of H1N1 goes from mild to severe, the sales of vaccines will more than double the gross income of suppliers. In billions.

Talk about perverse incentives.

Drug companies only make money if they sell drugs, and they only sell drugs if people are sick.

With this as a fact, you can see why we have rising medical care costs as well as institutional resistance to principles like paleodiet.

If everyone ate a paleodiet, the pharmaceutical industry would collapse.

So would the processed food industry.

And that would cause the GDP to decline. So "the economy" would suffer.

Can't have that happen.

Got to keep those profits growing and keep the economy humming.

At all costs.


Hiit Mama said...

Both of my parents are in healthcare fields and won't stop talking about swine flu business! They are all about the vaccine, how much business their hospital is getting and that it will also benefit from federal emergency dollars. Hello? Big business anyone. As always follow the $$$. Thanks for the great post.

Jeff said...

Hey Don,

Thanks for the recent posts on vaccines. I think I have my wife convinced not to get our children vaccinated. I had already chosen not to based on your thoughts and some other sources.

How do you feel about other vaccines? Polio? Tetnus(sp?)? Etc. Similar deal with them? These days I worry a lot about what I put into my and my families mouth. I think I need to be worrying about what gets shot in our arms too.


Jeff said...

One more comment to get email follow up.

Dexter said...

To ward off Swine Flu, take 10,000IU Vitamin D3 per day during the winter months. For Kids, cut in half during the winter and then cut to 2500 IU during the summer when there is good sun. Get out and get your natural Vit D.

Vit D Council letter as anecdotal evidence D3 supplementation keeps away swine flu.

"received this email from John Cannell, MD from the Vitamin D Council last month regarding Vitamin D and it possible protective effects against H1N1.

September 17, 2009

I’m writing to alert readers to a crucial email from a physician who has evidence vitamin D is protective against H1N1 and to ask you, the reader, to contact your representatives in Washington to help protect Americans, especially children, from H1N1 before winter comes.

Dear Dr. Cannell:

Your recent newsletters and video about Swine flu (H1N1) prompted me to convey our recent experience with an H1N1 outbreak at Central Wisconsin Center (CWC). Unfortunately, the state epidemiologist was not interested in studying it further so I pass it on to you since I think it is noteworthy.

CWC is a long-term care facility for people with developmental disabilities, home for approx. 275 people with approx. 800 staff. Serum 25-OHD has been monitored in virtually all residents for several years and patients supplemented with vitamin D.

In June, 2009, at the time of the well-publicized Wisconsin spike in H1N1 cases, two residents developed influenza-like illness (ILI) and had positive tests for H1N1: one was a long-term resident; the other, a child, was transferred to us with what was later proven to be H1N1.

On the other hand, 60 staff members developed ILI or were documented to have H1N1: of 17 tested for ILI, eight were positive. An additional 43 staff members called in sick with ILI. (Approx. 11-12 staff developed ILI after working on the unit where the child was given care, several of whom had positive H1N1 tests.)

So, it is rather remarkable that only two residents of 275 developed ILI, one of which did not develop it here, while 103 of 800 staff members had ILI. It appears that the spread of H1N1 was not from staff-to-resident but from resident-to-staff (most obvious in the imported case) and between staff, implying that staff were susceptible and our residents protected.


Norris Glick, MD
Central Wisconsin Center
Madison, WI

Dear Dr. Glick:

This is the first hard data that I am aware of concerning H1N1 and vitamin D. It appears vitamin D is incredibly protective against H1N1. Dr. Carlos Carmago at Mass General ran the numbers in an email to me. Even if one excludes 43 staff members who called in sick with influenza, 0.73% of residents were affected, as compared to 7.5% of staff. This 10-fold difference was statistically significant (P less than 0.001). http://www.vitamindcouncil.org/releases.shtml http://www.vitamindcouncil.org/releases.shtml http://www.vitamindcouncil.org/releases.shtml last newsletter, you will see that children with neurological impairments, like the patients at your hospital, have accounted for 2/3 of the childhood deaths for H1N1 so far in the USA. That is, the CDC knows, because they reported it, that patients with neurological impairments are more likely to die from H1N1.

The problem is that I cannot get anyone in authority at the CDC or the NIH to listen. I need readers to email or call their senators and congress persons in Washington.

Ask your senator or congressperson to contact the CDC and NIH to complain about CDC and NIH inaction on Vitamin D and H1N1. Also, ask your senators and representative to demand congressional hearings on Vitamin D and H1N1, before it is too late. Here is the link below, just click it and follow instructions to contact your own representatives.


John Cannell, MD
Vitamin D Council
585 Leff Street
San Luis Obispo, CA 93422
Posted by Dr. T (Nephrologist)

Dennis Mangan said...

It appears that the benefits of the flu vaccine can almost entirely be attributed to the healthy user effect. See here

Don said...


I came to my view of vaccines (including pertussis, etc.) after reviewing evidence such as presented on this website:


I don't believe the vaccines eradicated these diseases. I wouldn't give them to my children. I'll have an interesting post on polio and diet up later.

Don said...


Nice blog. Great post on flu vaccine.